Thursday, January 15, 2015

I would be the first to acknowledge that it is not advisable to predict the results of the European


'I know I have promised to close my beak for the European elections, but he sent cyfall map that shows what happened in the European elections to me. Unfortunately I can not see colors very well, so it does not mean much to me. However I'm reproduced home remedies for toothache here hoping to be of interest home remedies for toothache to those among you who see color better than me. I understand that Green (Plaid Cymru), Red (Labour) and Blue (Tories). 'I'm not so sure it's absolutely right - for example Nacw'n told me that Conwy blue - although the Party has become slightly ahead of the Tories there.
I would be the first to acknowledge that it is not advisable to predict the results of the European elections figures Westminster. 'You only have to look at what happened in Ceredigion in 2004 to prove it - the Lib Dems came fourth in the European elections in 2004 but first in Westminster elections in 2005. However, why not take one or two things for granted in order to debate more than anything else? (1) The Labour vote will be up to 10% better than they were in Westminster elections in European elections (although the latest polls suggest that) (2) Labour is very likely to lose the seats where they did not have reached 20% in the European elections - Will 10% ychwnegol not help them. This suggests that they will lose seats following they hold at the moment: Cardiff North, Aberconwy, Vale of Clwyd, home remedies for toothache Vale of Glamorgan, Gower, Harp, Arfon (Labour is the seat of this new theoretical holders), Anglesey, West Carmarthenshire / Pembrokeshire South, Wrexham and Clwyd South. The Conservatives would capture North Cardiff, the Vale of Clwyd, Vale of Glamorgan, Harp, Wrexham, Clwyd South and Gower. Plaid Cymru would capture Arfon. Plaid Cymru would also likely capture Anglesey, although there would be hope of some kind by the Tories home remedies for toothache there. The Tories would likely capture Aberconwy and Carmarthen West / South Pembrokeshire, in the hope that Plaid in these places. (3) That the parties are 20% ahead of their nearest rivals are fairly certain to win / hold that seat. This would mean that Plaid Cymru win and keep Arfon Meirion / Dwyfor and East Carmarthen / Dinefwr. Conservatives would certainly home remedies for toothache keep Monmouth. (4) The likelihood that people will vote tactically against home remedies for toothache Labour this time as they did against the Tories at 97 ('people do not vote tactically in the European elections because the voting system), and that a significant risk Any seats where Labour was less than 25% in the European election - even if they were on top of the poll. If the theory is correct, the following seats at risk - Caerphilly, Cardiff South, Cardiff West, Llanelli, Bridgend, Alyn and Deeside, Newport East, Newport West, Pontypridd, Swansea West, Torfaen. Plaid Cymru would risk in Caerphilly, Pontypridd and Llanelli (although the Tories in danger here also), the Tories would risk in South Cardiff, Bridgend, Alyn and Deeside, West Newport, Torfaen and West Cardiff - although Plaid strengthening rapidly in the latter. In a sense that the threat of the Tories and the Lib Dems are equal in Newport East and Swansea West, but the Lib Dems as well take advantage of split three ways, and we will consider them more of a threat than ' the Tories. So - assuming that Labour home remedies for toothache managed to increase their percentage of the vote of more than 10%, and taking also be voting Labour tactical anti significant, it is possible to imagine a realistic political map will be the next Wales even more dramatic than the one above - for those of you who can see it of course. If there was a perfect storm against home remedies for toothache Labour, home remedies for toothache all the rest would have would Swansea East, Rhondda, Cynon Valley, Merthyr, Bridgend, home remedies for toothache Islwyn, Aberavon and Neath (and it might be a shaky). They could also win Blenau Gwent ago. Few of Wales would be red - that's what the electoral map remarkable - even for a creature color blind. Update 24/6/08 'I move these comments have been writing (' I think) by John Percy - the person responsible for the map: The colors on the map is' home remedies for toothache proportional 'to vote. For example: ConwyPlaid Vote% 25.2% I lliwPlaid Wales 4236 44.8% 25.1% 44.7 114% Conservative 4228 114 2453 14.6% 21.3% Labour 54 So in Conwy, Green = 114, Blue = 114, Red = 54y mod is (% vote * 100 -5) / (50-5) (to be more bright colors) Therefore, Conwy looks like blue-green quite dirty !! Arfon: bright green, Rhondda: Green + Red = Orange / MelynMynwy: Red + blue = llacharGorllewin Newport Blue = Piwsetc
The map is a mixture of all colors - from light green to dark green; from light blue to dark blue; orange, yellow; purple. Is there a key to the map explains the colors? They may represent swing the vote in hyrach or voting itself. 8:15 pm
I do not know - someone who has my e boss

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